UK Economy Five Years After Brexit: Is Britain Better Off in 2026?
UK Economy Five Years After Brexit: Is Britain Better Off in 2026? Quick Answer Five years after Brexit's new trading arrangements took effect, the UK has gained greater policy independence but faces measurable economic costs. The UK's Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) estimates that Brexit will reduce long-term productivity by 4% relative to remaining in the European Union. The OBR also expects UK trade volumes to be approximately 15% lower in the long run than under continued EU membership. New trade agreements offer opportunities, but their estimated economic gains are modest compared with the projected costs of Brexit. Inflation, the pandemic, energy prices, and global trade disruptions complicate any attempt to blame Brexit for every UK economic problem. Five years after the United Kingdom began operating under its post-Brexit trading relationship with the European Union on January 1, 2021, a familiar question remains: Is Britain actually better off ec...